The State Committee for Industry, Energy and Subsoil Use of the Kyrgyz Republic expects by 2030 an increase in electricity production to 26 billion kWh under the optimistic scenario and up to 17 billion kWh under the pessimistic scenario

With the effective implementation of the tasks and activities provided for by the Kyrgyz Republic Fuel and Energy Complex Developmen Concept until 2030, the development of an energy infrastructure is expected to provide electricity taking into account consumption growth with an increase in electricity production up to 26 billion kWh under an optimistic scenario and up to 17 billion kW · H according to the pessimistic scenario (without constructing new hydropower plants and the Kara-Kechinskaya TPP).

It is also expected:

- The solution of social problems to improve the reliability of power supply to households in remote areas through the construction of new sections of substations and power transmission lines, as well as the introduction of  autonomous energy supply sources through the use of renewable energy potential;

- meeting the demand for electricity in the electricity-intensive production of mercury, antimony, cement at existing enterprises, as well as the creation of consumer  industry enterprises for the processing and preparation of agricultural products for export to the EAEU by improving energy efficiency with an energy savings of 11.1 million toe by 2030;

- ensuring the need for fuel and energy resources for the development of the construction of new facilities and the expansion of resort areas, cultural and sports complexes that meet international standards for the healthy development of all forms of tourism;

- an increase in coal production by 30% due to the use of significant reserves of the Kavak brown coal basin by creating a fuel and energy cluster based on the use of balance reserves of the Kara-Keche brown coal deposit in 2020-2025; development of the Uzgen coal deposit and of Karatyube and Kok-Kiya plots in 2020- 2022 , Beshterek plot in 2025-2030, and Chitta-Aksur plot in 2026-2028; mining of coal, coking coal and semi-anthracite in the Osh region, increasing coal production in the Zhyrgalan coal field through the construction of the +2100 m horizon of OJSC “Zhyrgalan Mine” and LLC Jyrgalan-Dorgokomur in Issyk-Kul Oblast; further development of Suluktinsky brown coal deposits in the Batken region;

- an increase of renewable energy share from 1.7% to 5% by putting small hydropower plants into operation in the Chuy region - 71.8 MW, in the Jalal-Abad region - 33.5 MW, in the Batken region - 13 MW, in the Naryn region - 7.38 MW, in the Issyk-Kul region - 7 MW, in the Osh region - 6.2 MW and in the Talas region - 1.6 MW, while this will require $ 314 million with a unit investment of $ 2mln per 1 MW;

- development of electrification of transport, creation of enterprises for processing agricultural products for export to the EAEU countries with the implementation of the Paris Agreement standards for not exceeding the GHG emissions per capita in the amount of 1.58 tons of CO2 / person by 2050 and a decrease in the energy intensity of GDP by 19% by 2030;

- an increase in the employment of the local population at new energy facilities with the creation of a mining cluster in Batken and Issyk-Kul regions, a fuel and energy cluster in Jalal-Abad and Naryn regions;

- increasing the economic stability and solvency of fuel and energy companies with minimizing the expenses of electricity companies, ensuring transparency of business processes and setting tariffs for consumer categories, in parallel with the development of a system of measures for targeted social support of the population vulnerable segments;

- Implementation of an effective personnel policy, the creation of a system for the training and retraining of highly qualified personnel;

- Creation of mechanisms to reduce corruption risks in the fuel and energy complex.

To overcome the expected risks and threats, it is necessary to carefully study the feasibility of creating a separate sectoral state body authorized in the fuel and energy sector in order to strengthen the state energy policy, increase the responsibility of decision makers in the energy sector and their weight in the international arena and create structures responsible for overcoming and minimizing of identified risks impact, as well as for the development of government programs and strategies with energy departments and companies  constant increase of internal talent slate, the concept says.